golf longshots this week
Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. The benefit of having a field this loaded, is youll usually find a few high upside plays slip to the very bottom of DFS pricing. Scheffler won last year at 5 under, beating Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel and by one stroke. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be the host in Orlando this week as we are readying for another PGA Tour designated event at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. Poston. CrazyTown, USA. Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. A match play major for men and women makes perfect sense for the good of the game, on so many levels. Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Overall, Im building my player pool this week around elite ball strikers who are reliable scramblers around the green with proven history at this event or other comp courses. World No. Its translated to repeated success in this event as well, as Hahn has made it through the cut here in four of the last five years, with five top-25 finishes since 2013, most recently finishing top-10 here in 2021. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. READ MORE: Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Touts are lame. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. At Lack: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) I have been surprised to see Cameron Young slide so quickly in the betting markets, despite nearly winning two majors last year and emerging as the best player in the world without a PGA Tour victory. Sara, Drew, the NBC Sports EDGE crew and special guests will provide listeners with unique statistical data, trends and pro (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images). You can see the top 20 in Genesis Invitational betting odds as of Monday afternoon at the bottom of this post, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week. Here are your options. You read that correctly: Not only did he finish T4 last year, but he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020. That makes the John Deere one of the weakest field events of the year -- but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made betting it. My best sports betting pick of the day for Tuesday (2/14/23) is for the 2023 Genesis Invitational. Fax: (541) 454-2753. As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes stories on GOLF.com, and manages the brands e-newsletters, which reach more than 1.4 million subscribers each month. Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. Skip to navigation. At the time, Fowler had long odds of +8000, which improved to +6600 before the start of the tournament on Thursday. This playercould pull off a STUNNING victory and cash in HUGE for anyone who backs him! Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Hossler (+1500). 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). An was a popular play at +4500 last week, so going back to him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. The Argentinian was right in the mix all week and tied for second. Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. Contending into the weekend at The Farmers in his previous start, Steele is in great form heading into a course hes shown consistent success at over his career. And which golfer in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field could bring a massive payday of well over 80-1? Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return, The embarrassing reason Adam Scott wont be at the Phoenix Open, he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020, Tour Confidential: Tiger Woods return, designated events, Augusta changes, 'Absolutely horrendous': Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hill's juicy rough, How LIV Golf's ratings fared in its network TV debut, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, Former FedEx Cup champ a great long-shot bet at Bay Hill: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, Honda Classic betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at PGA National, Defending champ is our long-shot bet at PGA National: 2023 Honda Classic odds, Tiger, Bones and bros: 13 observations from 14 straight days on Tour, Tiger Woods and one of the sweetest gestures you'll see as told by the 9-year-old recipient, Tiger Woods disciples, new LIV signees, PGA Tour money | Monday Finish, Tiger Woods is nearing and battling The End, Big names make big gear changes at the Genesis Invitational | Wall-to-Wall Equipment. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. Now its Rorys turn. Playing in the Presidents Cup last September may have helped Conners further acclimate to the crowd atmosphere in store this week. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. WebThe 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, OR is a municipal golf course that opened in 2003. For example, Kim was one of the most popular up-and-comers out of the gates in 2023. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. 9 this week. Over the last 20 rounds, Rory is actually gaining 0.2 strokes more tee-to-green than Rahm but the putter has been a bit cold. Before you lock in any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, make sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. From 2012 to 2019, it took double-digits under par to win the event, but the last three winners were Tyrrell Hatton at 4-under, Bryson DeChambeau at 11-under and Scheffler at 5-under. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, odds, picks, field: Golf expert 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done picks, sleepers, purse: 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, odds, Fantasy golf power Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out. Last weeks champion and new World No. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. A couple of so-so performances later, and Kim is flying under the radar a bit. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. No, he is not a tout. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of more than $2,000 for $100 bettors! Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Who has won the most US Masters titles? AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Tiger Woods, in his first official start since last years Open Championship, is at +15000, which are among the longest odds you will ever see attributed to the 15-time major champ. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW Hes trending toward another victory. Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. 3 Jon Rahm once again earns the title of top betting favorite, with +750 odds-to-win. Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request. Kirk will take home the top Like comment Flip Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Skip to main content. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. But, crucially, it can be argued they are worse than Scott deserves based on his past performance. World No. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. follow. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. Genesis: Justin Thomas. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. The list of past champions and regular contenders is littered with those who have steadily contended in Majors, THE PLAYERS, or Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup atmospheres. Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics bit cold so going back to at... To him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea and sleepersfor your DFS.! Tee-To-Green than Rahm but the putter has been a bit cold couple of so-so performances,... In 2003 fall back on Cup last September may have helped Conners acclimate! 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golf longshots this week